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唐品,姜宁.长三角地区的经济增长与金融发展 ——论“克鲁格曼质疑”现象的存在性[J].南京邮电大学学报(社会科学版),2010,(2):44~49
长三角地区的经济增长与金融发展 ——论“克鲁格曼质疑”现象的存在性
Economic Growth and Financial Development of the Yangtze River Delta Region——on the Existence of the Phenomenon of "Krugman Doubts"
  
DOI:
中文关键词:  金融发展  经济增长  “克鲁格曼质疑”
英文关键词:financial development  economic growth  Krugman Doubts
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作者单位
唐品 南京大学 经济学院 
姜宁 南京大学 经济学院 
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中文摘要:
      首先描述了长三角地区1998~2007年的金融发展与经济增长的状况,认为长三角地区存在资金依存度偏高的现实特征,基本符合“克鲁格曼质疑”模式;但通过新古典增长模型的各要素分析,发现同时存在于长三角地区的“正规金融”体系与“非正规金融”体系在难以满足经济增长需要的时候,会出现“基层突破—局部试点—中央确认”的演进模式,“非正规金融”逐步纳入“正规金融”体系,制度变革支持经济增长,“克鲁格曼质疑”在长三角地区并不成立。
英文摘要:
      This paper first describes financial development and economic growth conditions from 1998 to 2007 of the Yangtze River Delta region, finding the real characteristics of high dependence of capital, which is basically consistent with the model of "Krugman Doubts" . But through the factor analysis of new classical growth model, we find that when the two systems, "formal finance" system and "informal finance" system, which exist in the Yangtze River Delta region at the same time, are difficult to meet the needs of economic growth, the evolution model named that "primary breakthrough local pilot central confirmation" is formed. "Informal finance" gradually enter into the system of "formal finance", and institutional change support economic growth. From this point we can conclude that "Krugman Doubts" does not hold in the Yangtze River Delta region.
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