岳宇君,张磊雷.中国互联网使用、经济增长与电力消费的关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析[J].南京邮电大学学报(社会科学版),2020,22(03):56~66 |
中国互联网使用、经济增长与电力消费的关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析 |
Relationship between Internet use,economic growth and electricity consumption in China:an empirical analysis based on VAR model |
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中文关键词: 互联网使用 经济增长 电力消费 VAR模型 |
英文关键词:Internet use economic growth electricity consumption vector autoregressive model |
基金项目:2018年度教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“我国数字市场中市场势力的形成机制与规制政策研究——以OTT业务为例”(18YJC790209);江苏现代信息服务业决策咨询研究基地课题资助“基于多元主体参与的江苏‘宽带乡村’建设模式研究”(NYJD217010) |
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中文摘要: |
采用向量自回归(VAR)模型,通过单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果检验及脉冲响应分析等探讨互联网使用、经济增长与电力消费之间的关系。结果表明:我国互联网使用、经济增长对电力消费均具有显著的正向影响,而电力消费也在一定程度上促进了互联网使用和经济增长。根据研究结果,提出提高能效、因地制宜、均衡发展等建议,以期为产业发展、政策制定及相关研究提供参考。 |
英文摘要: |
This paper uses vector autoregressive (VAR) model to explore the relationship between Internet use, economic growth and electricity consumption through unit root test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and impulse response analysis. The results show that both Internet use and economic growth have a significant positive impact on electricity consumption, and that to a certain extent, electricity consumption also promotes the use of the Internet and economic growth. Based on the research results, suggestions are made from the aspects of improving energy efficiency, adjusting measures to local conditions, balanced development, etc., providing reference for industrial development, policy formulation and related research. |
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